US ATACMS Missiles won’t Avoid Kiev Defeat but could Spark WWIII. Russian Plans vs NATO-Poland Nuke Scenario

US ATACMS Missiles won’t Avoid Kiev Defeat but could Spark WWIII. Russian Plans vs NATO-Poland Nuke Scenario

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In the cover image the mysterious successor of the Russian mobile nuclear intercontinental missile RS-24 Yars tested in the Astrakhan Region in the latest days

By Fabio Giuseppe Carlo Carisio

VERSIONE IN ITALIANO

All article in Italian linked in this one can be read in English thanks to machine translation

Russian troops are firmly in control of the battlefield situation and are steadily pushing back Ukrainian forces, Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu has said.

Speaking at the meeting with top Russian commanders on Monday, the minister announced that Moscow had liberated the villages of Pervomayskoe and Novomikhailovka, west and southwest of the Russian city of Donetsk, as well as the settlement of Bogdanovka not far from Artyomovsk, known in Ukraine as Bakhmut. The latter strategic city was captured by Russia last year after months of bitter fighting.

He added that the control zone was also being expanded in Berdychi and Georgievka, north and west of Donetsk.

Ukraine has lost almost half a million troops

”Our high combat potential allows us to constantly strike the enemy and prevent him from holding the defense line,”Shoigu noted, estimating Kiev’s losses at half-a-million troops since the start of the conflict.

The units of Russia’s West battlegroup have hit over 170 facilities of the Ukrainian armed forces, as well as destroyed two fixed-wing drones of the enemy, the battlegroup’s spokesman Ivan Bigma told TASS.

Russian troops destroyed four boats with a Ukrainian assault force on the Dnieper River in the Kherson Region in an overnight strike, Governor Vladimir Saldo said on Tuesday.

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On April 20, the House of Representatives passed a $61 bln aid bill for Ukraine that includes ATACMS missile deliveries. The Senate will start considering the initiative later on Tuesday. But the Wall Street Journal doubted whether any fresh US military aid to Ukraine would radically change the situation for Kiev.

Earlier, the Russian Foreign Ministry said that sending additional military aid to Kiev would only make resolving the Ukraine conflict harder.

“Fundamentally, this will not change the situation on the battlefield” Russian presidential spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said.

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Pointing to the steady Russian advances along the front, Peskov said the dynamics of the conflict are now “absolutely clear to everyone,” and that the money and weapons the US will allocate to Ukraine “will not lead to a change in this dynamic.”

“They will lead to new casualties among Ukrainians, more Ukrainians will die, Ukraine will suffer major losses,” the presidential spokesman said.

US expert says more ATACMS won’t alter battlefield dynamics in Ukraine

Sending more ATACMS tactical missiles to Ukraine will not change the situation on the battlefield, former US Marine Corps Intelligence Officer Scott Ritter told the latest Judging Freedom podcast series on YouTube.

“All the Russians will do is adapt, it [supplying weapons] does not change the outcome. Just like when we gave them HIMARS, the Russians changed the way they did business and now they are shooting down the HIMARS <…>. You give the Ukrainians the ATACMS – it will be a gamechanger for a moment, and then the Russians will adapt, and all the realities <…> come back to haunt,” he said in a video released on Monday. US-provided Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) have previously been sent to Kiev already, and the Russian Defense Ministry has repeatedly reported the downing of those missiles by Russian aircraft and air defense systems.

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“There is no magic weapon, there is no series of weapons that could change this” situation for the Ukrainian armed forces, Ritter said as he insisted that Russia would prevail because it has the superiority of arms and the concentration of firepower. “Ukraine has lost all of this (firepower, experience, troops – TASS),” Ritter said. According to him, “we are looking at the beginning of the collapse” in Ukraine.

Top Hungarian diplomat warns US-NATO-EU competition in Ukraine could spark WWIII

The US, NATO and the European Union are essentially competing to see who can supply more weapons to Ukraine, further escalating the conflict with Russia and threatening a new world war, Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto said upon his arrival in Luxembourg for a joint meeting of EU foreign and defense ministers.

He emphasized that following the US Congress’ decision last weekend to pass a new bill on aid for Ukraine, “European pro-war politicians want to play catch-up.” “New arms deliveries and billions of euros are on the agenda today,” Sijjarto wrote on his Facebook (a social media site banned in Russia since it is owned by Meta corporation deemed extremist by the Russian authorities).

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“Preparations for a world war are intensifying in Brussels,” the minister warned. He said that the US, NATO and the EU are now competing for the right to coordinate military aid to Ukraine, “instead of focusing on strengthening peace and finding diplomatic solutions.” “Preparations for a new world war must be stopped,” the Hungarian foreign minister said.

EU ministers plan to discuss the conflict in Ukraine at their meeting in Luxembourg, in particular the supply of air defense equipment, including US Patriot systems, to Kiev. They will also consider using frozen Russian assets to help Kiev.

Russia to incorporate US nuke scenario in Poland in its military planning

Russia will take into account potential deployment of US nuclear weapons in Poland in its military planning, Russian Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said, commenting on Polish President Andrzej Duda’s statement on his country being ready to deploy nuclear arms under NATO’s Nuclear Sharing program.

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“It looks like Warsaw is deliberately seeking to attract more attention from those dealing with military planning in the Russian General Staff. It would be logical to assume that once US nuclear weapons appear in Poland, relevant facilities will be immediately put on the list of legitimate targets in case of a direct armed confrontation with NATO,” she said.

She slammed Duda’s statement as “provocative.” “Poland’s authorities make no secret of their striving to lean closer on the US nuclear weapons deployed in Europe and are actively using these ambitions in their hostile Russian policy,” Zakharova said. “This has us looking more closely at Poland in our military panning, taking into account threats to Russia that are generated with the participation of this country.”

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According to the Russian diplomat, Moscow and Minsk take into consideration the Polish factor when taking additional measures to bolster the security of their Union State.

In an interview with the Fakt newspaper on Sunday, Duda said that Poland is ready to deploy nuclear warheads under NATO’s Nuclear Sharing program. According to the Polish president, he has discussed this matter with US partners more than once.

Russia tests top secret nuclear-capable missile

The Russian Defense Ministry confirmed to RT on April 12, that an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) test had been carried out from the Kapustin Yar range in Astrakhan Region. 

According to the Russian military, the Strategic Missile Forces “successfully launched ICBM of a mobile ground-based missile system” from the interservice test facility near Volgograd. The test was successful and indicated “the high reliability of domestic missiles, ensuring the strategic security of the country.”

The type of system tested was not specified. Russia currently uses the RS-24 Yars (known by NATO as the SS-29) missiles as its mobile nuclear deterrent, but has reportedly been developing a successor for this system as well.

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The Yars – a Russian acronym for “atomic deterrence rocket” – entered service just a few years ago, fully replacing the RT-2PM2 Topol-M (SS-27) system. The solid-fueled missile is intended to carry multiple thermonuclear warheads and can be deployed from mobile vehicles or silos.

Fabio Giuseppe Carlo Carisio
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